Data from the World Population Review shows that in 2026, high-cost, high-tax states like California, New Jersey, Illinois, and Louisiana have some of the highest shares of residents moving out in search of cheaper, more livable places.
As Americans continue to reevaluate their living situations, migration trends show that more people are leaving certain states than ever before. A combination of high living costs, limited job opportunities, and personal preferences is driving people to seek more affordable or desirable places to live. These shifting migration patterns reveal which states may see population declines and which will continue to attract new residents.
From expensive coastal cities to struggling states, certain areas are becoming less appealing for long-term living. Understanding these migration patterns can help both individuals and communities adjust to the changing landscape of American life in 2026.
California
Data from World Population Review show that California remains one of the top outbound states, with an estimated 400,000 to 500,000 residents leaving each year, many relocating to lower-cost states such as Texas, Arizona, Nevada, and Florida in search of more affordable living.
The state’s population decline is particularly evident in high-cost areas like Los Angeles and San Francisco. As prices continue to soar, many residents are relocating to more budget-friendly cities across the country. This trend is expected to continue, making California one of the states people are most likely to leave in 2026.
New York
New York has also experienced significant outmigration, particularly from New York City. Sky-high rents, the burden of taxes, and the challenges of living in a dense urban area are pushing people to seek better opportunities in other states. Many are opting for the more affordable housing markets in states like Florida and North Carolina.
While New York remains a hub for culture, finance, and entertainment, the growing cost of living is forcing many families to reevaluate their living situations. As the cost of everyday essentials continues to rise, it’s likely that New York will remain a state that many people choose to live in in 2026.
Illinois
Recent census estimates show that Illinois has experienced a decade-long population decline, with net losses to other states often exceeding 50,000 residents per year, and many movers heading to nearby Indiana, Florida, and Texas.
The lack of job growth and the continued burden of high state taxes make Illinois less appealing for young professionals and families. These economic struggles, combined with the state’s financial instability, suggest that Illinois will continue to see people leaving in 2026.
New Jersey
New Jersey has recorded tens of thousands more outbound than inbound moves in multiple recent years, with many former residents heading to lower‑tax states like Florida, Pennsylvania, and South Carolina for cheaper housing and overall living costs.
While the state offers proximity to major cities and a high quality of life, the cost of living has proven a deterrent for many. As affordability remains a concern, New Jersey will likely remain one of the states people are most likely to leave in 2026.
Massachusetts
Massachusetts, home to the thriving city of Boston, has also seen a growing number of residents leave in recent years. Rising housing costs, particularly in the Boston metropolitan area, are a key driver of this outmigration. Many residents are leaving for less expensive cities, such as those in the South or Midwest, where the cost of living is more manageable.
The state’s high taxes and the pressure of finding affordable housing are pushing families to reconsider their living situations. As more people seek financial stability and lower costs, Massachusetts will likely continue to experience population decline in 2026.
Louisiana
Louisiana has faced significant population decline over the past few decades, with many residents leaving for neighboring states in search of better job opportunities and a higher quality of life. New Orleans, while a cultural and historical hub, has struggled with high crime rates, economic instability, and limited job growth. These challenges are pushing many people to relocate to more prosperous states.
With Louisiana’s economy heavily reliant on volatile industries like oil and gas, residents are opting for states with more diversified job markets. As a result, Louisiana will likely continue to see residents leaving in 2026, seeking better opportunities elsewhere.
Maryland
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While Maryland offers proximity to Washington, D.C., and a strong job market, the state has seen an increasing number of residents leave for more affordable areas. High taxes, expensive real estate, and the growing cost of living in and around the D.C. metropolitan area are all contributing to outmigration.
Although Maryland offers access to excellent healthcare, education, and job opportunities, the rising costs are a significant deterrent for families and young professionals. These challenges will likely lead to continued population loss in 2026.
Colorado
Data from the Common Sense Institute’s “Fewer Movers, Bigger Problems” report shows Colorado’s net migration has dropped by about 52.5 percent since 2015, with Denver Metro seeing nearly a 70 percent decline, largely linked to housing affordability concerns.
While Colorado still attracts people for its lifestyle, rising costs are beginning to outweigh the benefits. As affordability remains an issue, Colorado is likely to see more people leave in 2026.
Hawaii
Hawaii’s high cost of living and geographic isolation are major factors contributing to its population decline. While the state offers unmatched natural beauty and a relaxed lifestyle, the high cost of living in Hawaii, especially housing and goods, often pushes residents to seek more affordable options on the mainland. Many people are leaving Hawaii for states like California, Nevada, and Texas.
The cost of living, along with limited job opportunities and high prices for goods, makes it difficult for residents to stay in the area long term. Hawaii will remain a state with many residents in 2026, as people seek more affordable, sustainable living conditions.
West Virginia
West Virginia has struggled with economic stagnation, high poverty rates, and limited job growth, all of which have contributed to the state’s population decline. Many people are leaving for nearby states with greater economic opportunities, such as Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina.
The lack of job diversity and the state’s economic struggles are major factors driving this migration. As the state faces challenges in improving its economy and addressing long-standing issues, West Virginia is likely to continue seeing an exodus of residents in 2026.
Vermont
Vermont has long had a small population, and its recent migration trends show more people leaving than arriving. High property taxes, limited job opportunities, and a lack of affordable housing are among the primary reasons for outmigration. Many younger residents, particularly those looking for work or affordable housing, are leaving for more dynamic states with better opportunities.
The state’s aging population and limited economic opportunities continue to push people away, and this trend is likely to persist in 2026. Vermont’s small-town charm is no longer enough to retain residents, who seek greater job prospects elsewhere.
Alaska
Data from the Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development shows the state has recorded 12 consecutive years of negative net migration, with more residents leaving than arriving each year, largely due to limited job growth and high living costs.
Alaska’s isolation and high cost of living make it a challenging place to live for many, especially those seeking stability and affordability. These factors will likely contribute to continued population loss in 2026.
Key takeaway
The reasons people leave certain states are multifaceted, but cost of living, job opportunities, and quality of life are at the heart of most decisions. States like California, New York, and Illinois, which are known for high living costs and economic challenges, will likely continue to see out-migration in 2026.
As people search for better living conditions and more affordable options, understanding these migration patterns can provide valuable insights into the evolving landscape of U.S. population movement.
Disclaimer: This list is solely the author’s opinion based on research and publicly available information. It is not intended to be professional advice.
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