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9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth

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Scientists are sounding the alarm that comets—faster, harder to detect, and more explosive than asteroids—could pose Earth’s most underestimated extinction threat.

You ever look up at the night sky and feel that mix of awe and mild anxiety? Like, it’s breathtaking — but also, everything up there could crush us in a second. It’s a strange comfort knowing our planet is just spinning peacefully in the middle of cosmic chaos.

But for some scientists, comets aren’t just pretty light trails — they’re ticking time bombs of ice, dust, and destruction waiting for the wrong orbit. One striking historical example of a comet impact is the Tunguska event in 1908, which flattened over 80 million trees in Siberia. The blast was equivalent to 10–15 megatons of TNT—about 1,000 times more powerful than the Hiroshima bomb, Science Alert notes.

They move faster than asteroids

9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth
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Asteroids get most of the doomsday headlines, but comets move at terrifying speeds, some over 130,000 miles per hour. At that pace, even a small one could hit Earth with unimaginable force.

Comets’ high velocity multiplies their impact energy, making them potentially more dangerous than slower-moving asteroids of the same size. Scientists keep a wary eye on long-period comets precisely because they’d give us far less time to react.

Scientists admit we’re not fully prepared

9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth
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NASA has planetary defense programs like DART, designed to nudge asteroids off course. But comets? They’re harder to stop because they move faster and arrive unexpectedly.

As of 2024, the global early-warning network can detect most near-Earth asteroids larger than 140 meters, but only a fraction of long-period comets. Astronomers openly admit there’s no reliable system yet for deflecting one. For now, humanity’s best defense is vigilance and a bit of cosmic luck.

They can appear suddenly from the outer solar system

9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth
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Comets often come from the Oort Cloud, a distant shell of icy debris about 100,000 astronomical units away from the Sun. That’s so far, it’s basically the universe’s version of a dark storage closet. The problem?

We can’t track what we can’t see until it’s already headed our way. Long-period comets can swoop into the inner solar system without warning, giving us only months, not years, to prepare. That short notice keeps scientists up at night.

Some comets break apart unpredictably

9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth
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Here’s the tricky thing about comets: they’re fragile. Made of ice and dust, they can crumble, split, or explode as they get close to the Sun. That unpredictability makes it hard for scientists to model their paths.

In 2020, Comet ATLAS disintegrated just weeks before its closest approach to Earth, baffling astronomers who had predicted it might become visible to the naked eye. If a much larger comet fragmented near us, even one piece could cause catastrophic damage.

A comet impact once helped wipe out the dinosaurs

9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth
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Sixty-six million years ago, something big slammed into what’s now Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula — and changed everything. For decades, scientists blamed an asteroid, but newer research in Nature Scientific Reports suggests it could’ve been a disintegrating comet instead.

The impact released energy equivalent to billions of nuclear bombs, throwing debris into the atmosphere and triggering a global winter. More than 75% of species vanished. To this day, that crater, Chicxulub, reminds us that one celestial visitor can end an era.

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They can hide behind the Sun until it’s too late

9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth
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Sometimes, the Sun itself blocks our view. Comets traveling on a path behind it can remain invisible until they swing dangerously close.

NASA’s Solar and Heliospheric Observatory has caught dozens of “sungrazing” comets, many vaporizing, but a few surviving their fiery pass. The concern is that a survivor could emerge on a collision course.

They carry more energy because of their composition

9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth
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Comets aren’t just icy, they’re volatile. When those ices vaporize, they release jets of gas that can alter a comet’s direction mid-flight, something called “outgassing.” That makes predicting their paths incredibly difficult, especially for long-period comets we’ve never seen before.

Their chemical makeup — a mix of frozen carbon dioxide, water, and rock — also means they pack explosive potential on impact. Scientists describe them as “cosmic grenades with unpredictable pins.”

Earth passes through comet debris all the time

9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth
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Every year, we glide through the dust trails left by comets, creating meteor showers like the Perseids and Leonids. Most of that debris burns up harmlessly in the atmosphere. But all it takes is one larger fragment — a leftover chunk the size of a mountain — to turn beauty into catastrophe.

In 1908, the Tunguska event in Siberia flattened over 800 square miles of forest, likely caused by a small comet or asteroid exploding mid-air. It was a chilling reminder that the line between a light show and a life-ending impact is thin.

Even small comets could trigger global effects

9 reasons some scientists think comets could end Earth
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A comet only half a mile wide could darken the skies for months if it hit the right spot. Dust and debris would block sunlight, plunging temperatures and disrupting food chains. Climate models show that even regional impacts could cool the planet by several degrees for years.

The ripple effects would be immediate: crop failures, economic collapse, mass migrations. It’s not the size of the impact that ends civilizations, it’s what happens after.

Key takeaways

Key takeaway
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Comets aren’t just pretty sky fireworks — they’re cosmic wildcards. Moving faster than asteroids and often showing up unannounced, they remind scientists how little control we actually have over space surprises. It’s humbling and, honestly, a little terrifying.

The real danger isn’t just the crash — it’s the chaos after. Even a small comet could mess with the climate, food systems, and life as we know it. So while we keep watching the skies, here’s hoping the universe keeps hitting “snooze” on that particular disaster.

Disclaimer – This list is solely the author’s opinion based on research and publicly available information. It is not intended to be professional advice.

Disclosure: This article was developed with the assistance of AI and was subsequently reviewed, revised, and approved by our editorial team.

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